Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.091525 1.229608 1.380213 1.556958 1.759060 1.983360 2.251730
2026-01-11 0.899569 1.086205 1.305900 1.584758 1.930925 2.348627 2.893996
2026-01-18 0.763415 0.975175 1.240463 1.599785 2.077694 2.696936 3.568918
2026-01-25 0.650361 0.870326 1.160532 1.575679 2.161222 2.967934 4.181431
2026-02-01 0.550847 0.766344 1.063274 1.508162 2.167978 3.126536 4.654209
2026-02-08 0.479502 0.690236 0.991939 1.462985 2.193808 3.307769 5.179553
2026-02-15 0.425662 0.631735 0.937099 1.431984 2.232046 3.506676 5.756401
2026-02-22 0.398934 0.609837 0.932993 1.476193 2.390732 3.913212 6.736361
2026-03-01 0.369490 0.579975 0.912327 1.489743 2.498476 4.246861 7.640525
2026-03-08 0.334937 0.538064 0.867376 1.456455 2.519935 4.430981 8.296674
2026-03-15 0.304600 0.499900 0.824346 1.420689 2.530882 4.594829 8.936503
2026-03-22 0.293525 0.492888 0.832889 1.476427 2.715182 5.105369 10.355148
2026-03-29 0.278532 0.478687 0.829260 1.512999 2.875108 5.606387 11.881818
2026-04-05 0.263937 0.463857 0.823152 1.544614 3.030944 6.126351 13.563860
2026-04-12 0.248697 0.446334 0.810241 1.561384 3.159107 6.609454 15.266081
2026-04-19 0.230154 0.420851 0.779671 1.538887 3.201082 6.911046 16.595197
2026-04-26 0.208656 0.387756 0.731141 1.473529 3.140436 6.970413 17.324835
2026-05-03 0.191748 0.362078 0.694782 1.429682 3.121964 7.125292 18.339617
2026-05-10 0.177927 0.341293 0.666290 1.399542 3.130856 7.347368 19.587619
2026-05-17 0.172456 0.336802 0.670698 1.442683 3.319173 8.046892 22.358283
2026-05-24 0.164618 0.326737 0.662416 1.455911 3.436362 8.583348 24.777854
2026-05-31 0.153504 0.308885 0.635842 1.423465 3.434300 8.801876 26.266067
2026-06-07 0.143140 0.291804 0.609457 1.388596 3.421411 8.989119 27.702156